2012 Presidential Race will be a nail biter

With the GOP primaries all but over and Mitt Romney to be the inevitable victor the race is now focusing in on the larger Presidential Election this November. Yesterday major news outlets have released their first presidential polling numbers between the two likely Presidential candidates with slightly mixed reviews. While one polling site shows Romney with a slight advantage over Obama, another shows the President with a much larger lead. So what is the average citizen to take from these seemingly conflicting results? What we should take from these polls is that the political landscape is changing, Romney no longer has to compete with other GOP contenders , and is already looking to reach out to the independent voters that he has been struggling to gain support from in recent polls. Without having to defend off attacks from his own party Mitt Romney can work to close in on the gap left by both women and independent voters that has developed during the primaries.

What the general election is really going to come down to is which candidate the people find more favorable, a recent poll shows Romney as having one of the lowest favorable ratings of any candidate in three decades. The second important matter is who the people think will be able to handle the economy the best in the upcoming years, here Romney holds an edge over Obama. The disputes in the recent general election polls do make one thing very clear, this is going to be a very long and very close Presidential Election.

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Role of Social Media in 2012 Election

We live in a world where social media reigns supreme and every sound bite and campaign promise can instantly receive millions of views and “go viral” in a matter of minutes. The Romney campaign came under attack earlier this year. A Romney aide made a comment comparing the GOP primary campaign strategy to an “etch-a-sketch” being wiped clean for each new state primary. Facebook and Twitter however, ensure that trying to remodel your campaign is all but impossible with social media. Each and every moment on the campaign trail will be reviewed, replayed, and reused for a multitude of attacks by both parties. Romney spent much of his primary run trying to convince the most conservative members of the GOP that he is a candidate that shares their ideals. That strategy however already appears to be hurting Romney’s poll numbers among both women and independent voters. This blank slate strategy that doesn’t exist in the world of social media is going to hurt Romney when he want to appear more moderate to sway independents in the general election. The Obama campaign has already released what they are calling “Romney’s Greatest Hits” highlighting some of the statements made during the primary tour. No doubt we will soon have videos of Obama’s 2008 campaign about hope and change being torn to shreds shortly. When every action and spoken word is captured and endlessly scrutinized it makes any politicians job incredibly difficult and changes the way that the  presidential election is conducted. Every statement can be twisted into an attack and then those attacks must be constantly defended, this campaign then might very well come down to which candidate can embrace and utilize the rise of social media most effectively.

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War for Women’s Vote

With Mitt Romney’s most recent sweep of GOP primaries it seems as though he has locked down the GOP nomination he has even been turning his campaign to focus more on Obama and the upcoming general election. There is however a gap that is looming for Romney recent political polls shows that Romney is losing footing with independent women voters. While the RNC wave off claims that Republicans are waging a “war on women” that doesn’t negate the fact that Romney who was formerly leading the President in polls of independent women is now trailing by a wide margin of 14 points. Independent women are a key demographic for both candidates in the upcoming Presidential election. Many political analysts are now seeing that narrowing the gender gap will be essential for the Republican campaign to succeed come November. The political landscape for the upcoming elections is just heating up to stay informed on all of the latest poll results for your candidates and for the latest in political news check out Poll Headlines.

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Santorum will Continue to Run

GOP Party Leaders urge him to step down

Mitt Romney has secured a handful of valuable endorsements over the past several days from prominent leaders of the Republican Party. Despite the endorsements and despite the fact the Romney is leading Santorum in the latest primary polls in Wisconsin and Maryland Santorum will not back out. The former Senator from Pennsylvania has made it clear that he is willing to stay in the race until Romney reaches the necessary number of delegates 1,144. Current GOP polls show Romney with a steady lead with the other candidates trailing behind by fairly large margins.  Despite top Republican leaders calling for an end to the drawn out GOP Primary, the potential nominees look prepared to stick it out for the long haul. If you want to stay informed on the very news about Presidential election polls or local state Senate Polls check out Poll Headlines.

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Will the Healthcare Desicion Hurt or Help Obama?

 

The supreme court has finished hearing the oral arguments presented for and against the Affordable Care Act and now we must wait for the court’s decision. As people on both sides of the issue anxiously await the result many political analysts are now looking to how the decisions will effect the upcoming 2012 Presidential Election. Current election polls have shown that President Obama maintains a steady lead over top Republican contenders if the Obama administrations signature piece of legislature were repealed it could have a negative impact on his steady general election poll numbers. However, others think that the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, may not be the worst thing to happen to the Obama campaign. Repealing the controversial law will in effect take away one of the main rallying points that Republican nominees have been using during their campaigns. As well as eliminating a line of attack for Republican contenders the repeal of the health care bill could in fact create a new “bounce back issue” for Democrats to rally behind. This was seen when the GOP harshly criticized the result of the Roe vs. Wade court ruling in 1973. The decision by the Supreme Court will most likely occur sometime around June of this year leaving plenty of time for debate on the issue and plenty of time for poll results to fluctuate.

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Romney’s Decisive Win in Illinois

Illinois GOP Primary

Mitt Romney continues to gain delegates along the long road to the Republican nomination. In this Tuesdays Illinois primary Romney earned nearly 11 percent more in the  GOP primary poll. In his victory speech Romney chose to focus his campaign to the larger General Election with President Obama. Despite Rick Santorum’s dwindling Republican nominee poll numbers he is staying in the race as the definite Romney alternative and has already begun focusing on the more socially conservative state of Louisiana.

Santorum’s Struggle

As the biggest contender to Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum has been doing well amongst evangelical voters according to 2012 polls. However due to recent election gaffes his latest poll results show him declining amongst independent voters and women voters. While some of his statements amongst the poll headlines can be viewed as costing him primaries many socially conservative backers see it as a strong suit, in that Rick Santorum is not one to pander or flip flop but says what he believes. Controversial or not.

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Southern Indesicion Could Benefit Romney

As the GOP race shifts it’s focus to the deep red states of Mississippi and Alabama the Republican candidates are finding it hard to connect to traditional conservative southerners. The indecisiveness of the southern states are making it hard to predict who will come out on top. Newt Gingrich has been attempting to connect with Southern voters for the past couple of days skipping a trip to Kansas to instead focus on the Mississippi and Alabama primaries. Newt sees the southern primaries as a way to regain momentum and keep himself viable in the run for the nomination. Romney however has been playing a tactical game of collecting a handful of delegates throughout the nation maintaining his strong lead amongst the Republican nominee hopefuls. Whoever is the overall winner  of the extremely close GOP primaries in Mississippi in Alabama could have major benefits for Mitt Romney. If the evangelical vote split their votes between Santorum and Gingrich then Romney could come out on top in the South. With voting Polls showing an extremely tight race amongst the top three GOP candidates in the southern US it’s important to keep up to date on the latest primary results and news headlines surrounding the race to the 2012 Presidential Elections.

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